Ducky TradeBot · Telegram · 中文 / EN

AI-backed market signals, pushed to your Telegram before Twitter finds them.

Insiders buying ≥ $200k of their own stock reached your phone 2–5 minutes after the filing; NVIDIA, SK Telecom and Saudi PIF stake 8-Ks went out the same morning. AI reads every filing and writes the two lines that matter — no orders, no picks, public ledger.

Try it: DM @DuckyduckyTradeBot “NVDA 怎么样”

SEC Form 4 · 13D/13G · 13F · 8-K · OGE 278-T · K-index · USD liquidity · IV/HV · gamma walls · ~15 firehoses · public ledger

That's what the indicator did — not a call.

Every card below is “what was pushed + what price did afterwards”, with its original timestamp, BACKTEST and LIVE labeled apart. Past tense. No targets.

BACKTEST

🌊 K-index receipt

two images: original alert with date | SMH chart 60 days later

🩸 K-index flashed capitulation (K<1) → SMH +49% avg over the next 60 days across every sub-1 print in the last 5 years (100% of them positive (n = see ledger)). Same window, QQQ ≈ +17%.

K = CNN Fear & Greed ÷ VIX · normally >2 · sub-1 = extreme panic · backtest, not a promise · sample is small — see caveat ↓

BACKTEST

🌊 USD Liquidity Index receipt

2026-04-08 · first 🟢 ABUNDANT print of 2026 · data as of 2026-08-28

2026-01-01 → 2026-08-31 · 2026 daily score (0–100) · dashed = 🟢 ABUNDANT threshold 80 · dot = 2026-04-08

+18.3% QQQ from that close · to date

🌊 USD Liquidity Index · 2026-04-08 · first 🟢 ABUNDANT print of 2026 (score 80: SOFR 6 bp below IORB, net liquidity +$172B over 13 weeks, during the eSLR relief window) → had you bought QQQ at that close: +5.2% in a week, +14.7% in a month, +18.3% to date (605 → 716). Same window: SPY +14.1%, SMH +30.8%.

Reconstructed backtest (BACKTEST) · N=1 event · index = funding spread + bank reserves + TGA flow + net-liquidity momentum, reviewed every trading day, pushed on regime change · a record, not a promise

Hypothetical, equal-weight, excludes fees, slippage and taxes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Not investment advice.

LIVE · pushed

🤝 CRWV · 8-K strategic investment

2025-03-31 @ $40–48

+367%

Ducky pushed the 8-K the morning it hit EDGAR. 77 days later CRWV printed a $187 ATH: +367%.

LIVE · pushed

🤝 POWL · anonymous-customer 8-K

2026-05-06 @ $186

+73%

Alert fired on filing day. 6 trading days later: $322, +73%.

LIVE · pushed

🤝 PENG · SK Telecom $200M PIPE

2024-07-15 @ $20

+150%

Pushed it. FinTwit ignored it. 22 months later: $50, +150%.

LIVE · pushed

🏛 Speed check · OGE 278-T

filed 2026-05-08

−2 d

Caught and pushed that morning; CNBC reported it two days later. 12 officials tracked.

LIVE · pushed sample slot · replace with a real red row from the ledger before launch

🔻 Red rows too

$—— · 8-K · date @ $——

−—%

Pushed on filing day @ $——. 20 trading days later: −—%. This one stays on the ledger too.

We show these too. A ledger with no red rows is a brochure.

These are selected examples, not a hit rate. The track-record page that ships next lists every signal append-only with its +1/+5/+20-day return — losers included, paper and live labeled separately. Until then, read these as “what the tool caught at the time”, nothing more.

See the full ledger (losers included) →

🦆 Data / signal / education tool · not investment advice · past performance does not predict future results · backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees, slippage and taxes

What lands in your Telegram.

Three real formats, straight from the firehoses. Not a raw tape — the AI engine reads each one and writes the two lines that matter.

💰 Insider buy

SEC Form 4 · open-market code P only · officers / directors · ≥ $200k · 2–5 min after EDGAR

🚨🟢 INSIDER BUY — $1.1M / $TICKER
CEO · 48,000 shares @ $22.91 · [SEC EDGAR ›]
🏢 High-frequency PCB supplier — upstream of AI compute
📈 Forward P/E 16x · 📊 holding the 200-day
⭐ Smart Money Score: 8/10
🦆 “CEO bought $1.1M, forward PE 16x, price stabilizing at the yearly line, high-frequency PCB is compute upstream.”
Want it watching YOUR names? → /subscribe

Aggregators post this 12–24 h later. That's the gap.

🤝 Strategic stake

13D/13G >5% · 13F new position · 8-K PIPE/JV · Tier-1: NVIDIA · MSFT · SK Telecom · Samsung · TSMC · Oracle · sovereigns MGX · PIF · Mubadala · deal ≥ $50M

🤝 STRATEGIC 8-K — SK Telecom → $PENG · $200M PIPE
🦆 “Tier-1 telco taking >5% at a premium, small cap, thin float, Strategic Partner Score 9/10.”
Want it watching YOUR names? → /subscribe

FinTwit is usually a day or more behind.

🌊 K-index print

intraday · edge-triggered · every print carries the backtest and the stop line

BACKTEST
🔴 K = 0.87 (Fear & Greed 18 ÷ VIX 20.7) → capitulation band
📊 Backtest (5y): buying semis (SMH) on a K<1 print → +49% avg over the next 60 days, 100% positive (n = see ledger); QQQ ≈ +17%
⚠️ Always with a stop — around −8%, trim or stop out
Want it watching YOUR names? → /subscribe

The stop line ships every time; we don't strip it.

Guardrail note: the AI engine has an identity guardrail. A real example from the logs: “SGI is bedding, not an AI stock” — it won't dress a mattress company up as compute.

K-index = Fear & Greed ÷ VIX

Normally above 2. Under 1, the crowd is puking and vol is spiking at the same time — capitulation. It describes the water level; it is not an instruction.

Four bands

  1. 🟢 K ≥ 2 — Calm. Sentiment is normal.
  2. 🟡 1.5 – 2 — Watch. Fear is starting to stack.
  3. 🟠 1 – 1.5 — Fear. Most pullbacks historically stopped here.
  4. 🔴 K < 1 — Capitulation. This is the print the receipt above is built on.
BACKTEST

Backtest box (pushed verbatim inside every 🔴 alert)

📊 5-year backtest: buying SMH on a K<1 print → +49% average over the next 60 days, every instance positive (n = see ledger). QQQ ≈ +17%

⚠️ Always with a stop — around −8%, trim or stop out. The alert carries this line every time; we don't strip it.

How it's delivered

  • Intraday, edge-triggered — you get pinged when the band deepens, not every 15 minutes.
  • Live 0–100 dip gauge for SMH and QQQ, so “how deep is the dip” is one glance.
  • Ledger: every print is logged with its timestamp before the outcome exists; returns are back-filled later. No edits, no back-dating.

Free vs Signal: the free channel sees delayed / teased band prints + the public ledger. Signal ($12/mo) gets the live intraday push the moment the band changes, plus the dip gauge.

Stated up front: “100% over 5 years” is a handful of events, not hundreds. The sample is small. It is a water-level indicator for layering a DCA — not a guarantee, not a price target.

Eight boards. Pick the ones you read.

One Telegram supergroup, Topics mode. Mute what you don't need.

🧭 Daily brief & the tape

Upside-Confluence Digest. Every ticker ranked by how many independent bullish sources stack today (insider + partner + fund + hiring). Three different sources beat three copies of one. No jargon, just the point.

💰 Insiders quietly buying

Form 4 open-market buys ≥ $200k, 2–5 min after filing, with a 0–10 Smart Money Score.

🤝 Whale stakes & strategic partners

13D/13G, 13F new positions, 8-K PIPEs from Tier-1 corporates and sovereign funds. Plus 12 tracked officials' 278-T filings.

📊 Earnings, the two lines that matter

What's priced in before the print; the two lines that mattered after.

🧑‍💻 What hiring pages give away

Hiring pages as a leading indicator.

🌊 Water level · macro · K-index

Macro brief, USD liquidity, and the K-index prints.

📉 Oversold scan · cheap options

Twice a day intraday: beaten-down quality names where option IV is cheap vs realized HV and vs its own history (crash-HV-trap guarded). 🔭 = new find, 🎯 = cheap vol.

📅 Week ahead & pre/post market

Sunday: next week's schedule (exact ET times + chart). Daily pre-close: the trading-mode read (PIN / TREND / EVENT-VOL), grounding-checked so it can't invent a level.

🦆 Ducky's trades is a manual board — the builder's own log, “not a pick, a record + a discussion”.

DM it a ticker. Get the whole picture in one card.

Type “NVDA 怎么样” (or “how's NVDA”) to @DuckyduckyTradeBot. Back comes the 全景 snapshot:

🦆 NVDA · 全景
Oversold: RSI day 28 / week 41 / month 55
Pullback: sitting on the 50-day, 4% above the d20 buy-zone
vs sector: −3.1% vs SMH over 20d — lagging
IV/HV: IV 38 vs HV 52 → options cheap vs realized
Gamma: call wall 145 · put wall 125 · flip 132
Expected range this week: 128 – 142
illustrative numbers · the real card is built from that day's data

Sub-sector aware — ALAB is measured against interconnect peers CRDO / MRVL / ANET, not against “tech”.

Then tell it what to watch. In plain language.

NVDA 超跌且IV便宜就提醒我 跌破200日线提醒我 落后半导体板块5%告诉我 ping me if ALAB lags CRDO by 5%
How
The AI engine compiles your sentence once into a deterministic rule; the scanner runs it every 15 minutes during market hours. Cheap, deterministic, no phantom triggers.
Why it matters
No brokerage does this — Futu / Tiger / IBKR only offer dumb price and percent alerts.
Caps
Free 3 · Signal 25 · Pro 100.
Try one now →

Why it's affordable and private

AI-backedAn AI engine reads every filing and writes the two lines that matter — it doesn't forward the raw text.
~15 firehosesSEC EDGAR, Nasdaq, OGE filings, hiring pages, public quotes. All public data.
In-house signal engineVery low run cost, no pay-per-call middlemen. That's why Signal is $12, not $48.
2–5 minForm 4 to your phone. 100–300× faster than the 12–24 h aggregators (measured, not an SLA).

Two promises

  1. It never places an order — not a trading bot, never connected to your broker.
  2. Fully private — your watchlist and alert rules belong to you: encrypted, never shared, never sold, deletable any time.

Where it's thin (we say it first)

We're not the biggest data shop and we don't have a brand yet. What we do have: speed on filings (minutes, not hours), AI that reads every filing instead of forwarding it, and a public ledger you can check any time — losers included.

Built for two kinds of people.

You trade US stocks from Futu / Tiger / IBKR and read both languages.

You want the filing before FinTwit, in Chinese, with the reasoning — not a 200-line English PDF. Signal, $12/mo, or the ¥ annual pass.

You DCA and only want one thing: when to add.

You don't want 15 boards. You want the K-index print, the gauge, and the ledger. Mute everything else. Signal.

One-liners: options / flow refugee from a $48–149/mo tool → Pro, $29. Busy professional with no time for a terminal → the answer arrives in Telegram.

Free is real. Paid is personal.

The free channel is the product's live demo — every filing, every K-index tease, the public ledger. Paid means it watches YOUR names.

Free

$0

Live demo + public ledger

Firehoses
Raw SEC insider / 13F / 8-K firehose (public channel) · teased K-index band prints · public timestamped track record
DM analyst
Natural-language alerts
3
Scan cadence
Extras
Start free — 3 alerts, no card →

Signal

$12/mo $99/yr save 31%

It watches YOUR names

Firehoses
Everything in Free + live intraday K-index capitulation signal + 0–100 dip gauge (SMH/QQQ)
DM analyst
全景 snapshots (“NVDA 怎么样”): RSI day/week/month · pullback · vs sector · IV/HV
Natural-language alerts
25
Scan cadence
every 15 min, market hours
Extras
Upside-confluence digest on your list · oversold auto-ping
Subscribe to Signal →

Pro

$29/mo $249/yr save 28%

+ options timing desk

Firehoses
Everything in Signal
DM analyst
+ gamma call/put walls & flip · weekly expected range · IV–HV history · sub-sector RS (ALAB vs CRDO/MRVL/ANET)
😱 retail-sentiment contrarian card roadmap · 规划中
Natural-language alerts
100
Scan cadence
faster
Extras
+ gamma alerts · priority push (paid-only queue)
Subscribe to Pro →

China · annual pass

¥299/yr

one payment · per year

Signal scope · data / signal / education

Firehoses
Everything in Signal
DM analyst
Same as Signal
Natural-language alerts
25
Scan cadence
every 15 min, market hours
Extras
Chinese-first push · Alipay / WeChat / USDT
Get the annual pass →

Which one?

  • I DCA and want to know when to add → Signal
  • Options refugee paying $48–99/mo for flow → Pro
  • Futu / Tiger / IBKR US-stock trader → Signal or the ¥ annual pass

Every tier sees the same public ledger; paying buys the numbers on YOUR watchlist, not better numbers.

Billed annually shown; monthly available. Invite a paying friend → +1 month for both. Pay by Alipay / WeChat / USDT today; Telegram Stars and card coming.

“Is Pro worth it over Signal?” Only if you trade options: gamma walls, IV–HV, the weekly expected range and sub-sector RS live there.

🦆 Paid buys personalization (your watchlist), not “secret picks” · data / signal / education tool · not investment advice

FAQ

Is this stock picking?

No. Ducky surfaces filings, indicators and backtests, and explains them. It never tells you to buy anything and never gives a price target. Receipts are past tense on purpose. It is a data / signal / education tool. We are not a licensed adviser anywhere.

Does it trade for me?

Never. No brokerage connection, no orders. You decide.

I'm in mainland China. Can I use it?

The product lives on Telegram, which needs a VPN there. The ¥ annual pass is the same Signal scope, framed and delivered as 数据 / 信号 / 教育 content. For discovery we post receipt cards on 小红书 and a bilingual recap on 公众号.

How do I pay and cancel?

DM /subscribe to @DuckyduckyTradeBot. Alipay / WeChat / USDT now; Stars / card later. Cancel by not renewing — no lock-in.

How fast is “fast”?

Form 4 alerts land 2–5 minutes after EDGAR posts. 8-K partner filings the same morning. K-index prints intraday, edge-triggered.

What about the losers?

The ledger records every signal with a timestamp before the outcome exists. The track-record page lists +1/+5/+20-day returns by source — losers included.

🦆 Want it watching YOUR names?

🦆 Data / signal / education tool · not investment advice · past performance does not predict future results · backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees, slippage and taxes

Backtests are hypothetical and exclude fees, slippage and taxes. Latency figures are measured, not a service commitment. Not affiliated with Telegram, the SEC, or any issuer named. Full disclaimer →